Pre-tourney Rankings
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#257
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#259
Pace68.1#155
Improvement-3.0#295

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#209
Improvement-1.8#244

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#286
Improvement-1.2#236
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2012 33   @ Memphis L 66-81 4%     0 - 1 -0.1 +1.6 -1.6
  Nov 14, 2012 221   @ Savannah St. L 47-54 30%     0 - 2 -7.1 -9.2 +0.8
  Nov 18, 2012 25   @ Kansas St. L 55-74 3%     0 - 3 -3.1 -11.0 +7.7
  Nov 21, 2012 109   @ Florida St. L 67-75 12%     0 - 4 -0.7 -9.1 +9.0
  Nov 27, 2012 273   @ Bethune-Cookman W 71-65 42%     1 - 4 +2.4 +0.2 +2.7
  Nov 29, 2012 328   Florida A&M W 72-47 83%     2 - 4 +9.4 -10.0 +17.9
  Dec 01, 2012 27   @ Minnesota L 59-87 4%     2 - 5 -12.4 -10.7 +0.4
  Dec 08, 2012 8   @ Pittsburgh L 47-89 2%     2 - 6 -22.3 -9.8 -18.8
  Dec 17, 2012 24   @ Colorado St. L 55-83 3%     2 - 7 -12.1 -9.4 -5.1
  Dec 19, 2012 253   @ Portland L 64-74 37%     2 - 8 -12.1 -8.2 -3.8
  Dec 22, 2012 238   Cal St. Bakersfield W 80-70 46%     3 - 8 +5.6 +8.6 -2.7
  Dec 23, 2012 282   Georgia Southern W 74-46 57%     4 - 8 +20.6 +3.5 +19.2
  Dec 31, 2012 304   Lipscomb W 84-70 75%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +1.5 +0.2 +0.7
  Jan 02, 2013 258   Northern Kentucky L 52-65 63%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -21.9 -16.8 -7.1
  Jan 05, 2013 243   @ Stetson W 90-74 34%     6 - 9 2 - 1 +14.6 +17.6 -2.7
  Jan 07, 2013 140   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 73-75 16%     6 - 10 2 - 2 +2.9 +3.7 -0.9
  Jan 10, 2013 138   Mercer L 47-66 35%     6 - 11 2 - 3 -20.5 -18.2 -5.5
  Jan 12, 2013 336   Kennesaw St. W 81-72 87%     7 - 11 3 - 3 -8.7 -2.5 -6.4
  Jan 18, 2013 296   Jacksonville L 68-77 73%     7 - 12 3 - 4 -20.9 -7.4 -13.9
  Jan 24, 2013 214   @ South Carolina Upstate L 57-63 28%     7 - 13 3 - 5 -5.4 -16.2 +10.8
  Jan 26, 2013 324   @ East Tennessee St. L 75-89 60%     7 - 14 3 - 6 -22.2 -2.2 -20.1
  Jan 31, 2013 140   Florida Gulf Coast L 75-89 35%     7 - 15 3 - 7 -15.6 +2.4 -18.1
  Feb 02, 2013 243   Stetson W 64-59 59%     8 - 15 4 - 7 -2.9 -11.9 +9.1
  Feb 07, 2013 336   @ Kennesaw St. W 60-52 71%     9 - 15 5 - 7 -3.2 -13.4 +10.8
  Feb 09, 2013 138   @ Mercer L 44-64 16%     9 - 16 5 - 8 -15.1 -20.8 +3.4
  Feb 15, 2013 296   @ Jacksonville L 68-70 50%     9 - 17 5 - 9 -7.5 -6.9 -0.6
  Feb 21, 2013 324   East Tennessee St. W 77-64 81%     10 - 17 6 - 9 -1.7 -4.4 +2.7
  Feb 23, 2013 214   South Carolina Upstate W 77-53 51%     11 - 17 7 - 9 +18.1 +4.8 +14.8
  Feb 28, 2013 258   @ Northern Kentucky L 45-72 38%     11 - 18 7 - 10 -29.5 -14.5 -23.2
  Mar 02, 2013 304   @ Lipscomb W 85-78 52%     12 - 18 8 - 10 +0.9 +5.9 -5.2
  Mar 06, 2013 140   Florida Gulf Coast L 63-73 25%     12 - 19 -8.4 -7.4 -1.2
Projected Record 12.0 - 19.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%